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By AnonymSeth Klarman
A commodity doesn't have the same characteristics as a security, characteristics that allow for analysis. Other than a recent sale or appreciation due to inflation, analyzing the current or future worth of a commodity is nearly impossible.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
All an investor can do is follow a consistently disciplined and rigorous approach; over time the returns will come
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
All investors must come to terms with the relentless continuity of the investment process.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Almost no one will accept responsibility for his or her role in precipitating a crisis: not leveraged speculators, not willfully blind leaders of financial institutions, and certainly not regulators, government officials, ratings agencies or politicians.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Always look for forced urgent selling.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Always remembering that we might be wrong, we must contemplate alternatives, concoct hedges, and search vigilantly for validation of our assessments. We always sell when a security's price begins to reflect full value, because we are never sure that our thesis will be precisely correct.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
A margin of safety is achieved when securities are purchased at prices sufficiently below underlying value to allow for human error, bad luck, or extreme volatility in a complex, unpredictable and rapidly changing world.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Analysts recommendations may not produce good results. In part this is due to the pressure placed on these analysts to recommend frequently rather than wisely.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
As Buffett has often observed, value investing is not a concept that can be learned and gradually applied over time. It is either absorbed and adopted at once, or it is never truly learned.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
As Graham, Dodd and Buffett have all said, you should always remember that you don't have to swing at every pitch. You can wait for opportunities that fit your criteria and if you don't find them, patiently wait. Deciding not to panic is still a decision.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
A simple rule applies: if you don't quickly comprehend what a company is doing, then management probably doesn't either.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
As value investors, our business is to buy bargains that financial market theory says do not exist. We've delivered great returns to our clients for a quarter century-a dollar invested at inception in our largest fund is now worth over 94 dollars, a 20% net compound return. We have achieved this not by incurring high risk as financial theory would suggest, but by deliberately avoiding or hedging the risks that we identified.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
At Baupost, we constantly ask: 'What should we work on today?' We keep calling and talking. We keep gathering information. You never have perfect information. So you work, work and work. Sometimes we thumb through ValuLine. How you fill your inbox is very important.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
At equal returns, public investments are generally superior to private investments not only because they are more liquid but also because amidst distress, public markets are more likely than private ones to offer attractive opportunities to average down.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
At the worst possible moment, when your fund is down because cheap things have gotten cheaper, you need to have capital, to have clients who will actually love the phone call and-most of the time, if not all the time-add, rather than subtract, capital.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
A value strategy is of little use to the impatient investor since it usually takes time to pay off.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Avoiding where others go wrong is an important step in achieving investment success. In fact, it almost assures it.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Avoid organizing investment team into silos.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Bad things happen, but really bad things do not. Do buy the dips, especially the lowest quality securities when they come under pressure, because declines will quickly be reversed.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Because investors are not usually penalized for adhering to conventional practices, doing so is the less professionally risky strategy, even though it virtually guarantees against superior performance.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Be focused on process and not outcome
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Be indifferent if you lose your short term clients, remember they are your own worst enemy
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Below, we itemize some of the quite different lessons investors seem to have learned as of late 2009 - false lessons, we believe. To not only learn but also effectively implement investment lessons requires a disciplined, often contrary, and long-term-oriented investment approach. It requires a resolute focus on risk aversion rather than maximizing immediate returns, as well as an understanding of history, a sense of financial market cycles, and, at times, extraordinary patience.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Be sure that you are well compensated for illiquidity - especially illiquidity without control - because it can create particularly high opportunity costs.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Beware leverage in all its forms. Borrowers - individual, corporate, or government - should always match fund their liabilities against the duration of their assets. Borrowers must always remember that capital markets can be extremely fickle, and that it is never safe to assume a maturing loan can be rolled over. Even if you are unleveraged, the leverage employed by others can drive dramatic price and valuation swings; sudden unavailability of leverage in the economy may trigger an economic downturn.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Buying's easier, selling's hard - [it's] hard to know when to get out.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
By investing at a discount, Benjamin Graham knew that he was unlikely to experience losses.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Complexity - limits competition.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Do not accept principal risk while investing short-term cash: the greedy effort to earn a few extra basis points of yield inevitably leads to the incurrence of greater risk, which increases the likelihood of losses and severe illiquidity at precisely the moment when cash is needed to cover expenses, to meet commitments, or to make compelling long-term investments.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Do not suffer interim losses, relish and appreciate them
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Do not trust financial market risk models. Despite the predilection of some analysts to model the financial markets using sophisticated mathematics, the markets are governed by behavioral science, not physical science.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Don't short many stocks. Instead they hedge for tail risk with CDS and options. They are happy to incur illiquidity
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Excess capacity in people, machines, or property will be quickly absorbed.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Financial innovation can be highly dangerous, though almost no one will tell you this. New financial products are typically created for sunny days and are almost never stress-tested for stormy weather. Securitization is an area that almost perfectly fits this description; markets for securitized assets such as subprime mortgages completely collapsed in 2008 and have not fully recovered. Ironically, the government is eager to restore the securitization markets back to their pre-collapse stature.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Flexible approach - will look at ALL asset classes.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Frequent comparative ranking can only reinforce a short-term investment perspective. It is understandably difficult to maintain a long-term view when, faced with the penalties for poor short-term performance, the long-term view may well be from the unemployment line ... Relative-performance-oriented investors really act as speculators. Rather than making sensible judgments about the attractiveness of specific stocks and bonds, they try to guess what others are going to do and then do it first.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Generally, the greater the stigma or revulsion, the better the bargain.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Gold is unique because it has the age-old aspect of being viewed as a store of value. Nevertheless, it’s still a commodity and has no tangible value, and so I would say that gold is a speculation. But because of my fear about the potential debasing of paper money and about paper money not being a store of value, I want some exposure to gold.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Graham's wonderful sentence as, an investor needs only two things: cash and courage. Having only one of them is not enough.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Great investments don't just knock on the door and say "buy me".
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Having clients with a long-term orientation is crucial. Nothing else is as important to the success of an investment firm.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Having great clients is the key to investment success.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
Hold cash when opportunities are not presenting themselves.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
I don't have a Bloomberg on my desk. I don't care.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
If only one word is to be used to describe what Baupost does, that word should be: 'Mispricing'. We look for mispricing due to over-reaction.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
If you are predisposed to be patient, disciplined and psychologically appreciate the idea of buying bargains, then you're likely to be good at it. If you have a need for action, if you want to be involved in the new and exciting technological breakthroughs of our time, that's great, but you're not a value investor, and you shouldn't be one.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
If you can remember that stocks aren't pieces of paper that gyrate all the time --they are fractional interests in businesses -- it all makes sense.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
If you've just stared into the abyss, quickly forget it: the lessons of history can only hold you back.
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
I know of no long-time practitioner who regrets adhering to a value philosophy; few investors who embrace the fundamental principles ever abandon this investment approach for another
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By AnonymSeth Klarman
In a crisis, stocks of financial companies are great investments, because the tide is bound to turn. Massive losses on bad loans and soured investments are irrelevant to value; improving trends and future prospects are what matter, regardless of whether profits will have to be used to cover loan losses and equity shortfalls for years to come.
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